Berita Baik – Sektor Automotif Global Dijangka Melihat Pertumbuhan Dua Digit Pada 2021
Fakta, 2019 adalah tahun yang sangat baik bagi kebanyakan pengeluar kereta di seluruh dunia dengan keuntungan yang sihat tahun ke tahun. Walaupun terdapat gangguan daripada beberapa pemerintah untuk menjauhkan diri dari kenderaan berkuasa pembakaran di pusat-pusat bandar utama, kebanyakan pengeluar kereta terus mengeluarkan perbelanjaan untuk penyelidikan dan pembangunan untuk memperkenalkan kereta generasi baharu. Bateri sdepenuhnya atau hibrid plug-in dengan lebih menekankan pada pemanduan bebas pelepasan di pusat bandar.
Kemudian ‘norma baru’ berlaku.
Pandemik coronavirus (Covid-19) membatalkan anggapan mengenai perkembangan ekonomi global dan menghancurkan harapan pertumbuhan yang stabil bagi banyak industri. Pemulihan pada tahun 2021 dijangka, tetapi ianya tidak akan begitu senang.
Walaupun coronavirus terkendali, syarikat-syarikat harus memikirkan kembali model perniagaan mereka dan menyesuaikan diri dengan perubahan kehendak pengguna, sebagai tindak balas terhadap pandemik dan tren yang ada yang telah diperkuat oleh kerana virus.
Sementara itu, masih akan ada beberapa negara di seluruh dunia, Malaysia misalnya di mana pelepasan dan peningkatan jumlah CO2 menjadi keutamaan hanya pada penulisan tetapi tidak dalam penguatkuasaan atau tindakan untuk melakukan yang lebih baik.
KENYATAAN MEDIA:
New report by The Economist Intelligence Unit (The EIU) forecasts growth and key risks for the global automotive industry
● The global automotive industry will witness double-digit growth in 2021 but it will not be enough to make up for the slump caused by the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic.
● New car sales will rise by 15% in 2021, following a fall of 18% in 2020. Commercial-vehicle sales will increase by 16% in 2021, after a 16% drop in 2020.
● Automakers will be forced to review their global operations, resulting in plant closures and widespread job losses as the industry consolidates.
● Electric vehicle sales will soar from 2.5m this year to 3.4m in 2021, but China’s share of the market will shrink as European sales continue to soar.
The coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic has brought a decade of expansion in the global automotive industry to an abrupt halt, with sales plummeting in most markets. A new report from The Economist Intelligence Unit (The EIU) predicts that global new-vehicle sales will return to double-digit growth in 2021, but will fail to recover fully. Only four countries will see sales bounce back to 2019 levels: China, Turkey, Taiwan and Ukraine. As a result, there will be more job cuts across the industry, with plants and suppliers closing in countries where the markets are slowest to recover.
Ana Nicholls, Director of Industry Operations at The Economist Intelligence Unit, says:
“After a disastrous 2020 for the global automotive sector, we now expect an upturn in 2020, but carmakers across the world will need to seek out growth pockets while pushing through extensive cost-cutting programmes. The rivalry between the US and China will continue in 2021, regardless of who wins the US 2020 elections. Sanctions and investment restrictions may even force third-party countries to choose between the two rivals.”
The report also focuses on the shift away from fossil fuel vehicles, in favour of low-emission or electric vehicles. Global EV sales will rise sharply in 2021, to around 3.4m units, supported by generous government incentives, increasingly stringent emissions legislation and new launches. However, China’s share of the global EV market will shrink, while Europe’s will continue to rise. Online sales are another trend likely to gain momentum in 2021, if motorists remain wary of visiting dealerships.
No Comment